Why a poor August points to a September rally for funds
Nearly all UK domiciled funds are assigned to one of the Investment Association sectors.
There are now more than 50 sectors, but the Investment Association do not provide average return data for a few of them because the fund objectives and strategies can vary so widely, such as Targeted Absolute Returns. A couple of years ago they also split the Global Bond sector into 14 new sectors, mainly to incorporate exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Most of these sectors only contain a handful of funds (unit trusts and OEICs) so at Saltydog we still combine all of the non-UK bond sectors to create our ‘Global and Global Emerging Market Bond’ sector.
This means that we end up reporting on 35 sectors.
In July 33 sectors made gains, up from 25 the month before. Unfortunately, only six sectors rose in August, making it the worst month so far this year.
The top performing sector last month was “India/Indian Subcontinent” with a one-month return of 0.9%. It is also one of the few sectors that has gone up in each of the last four months.
Last week I wrote about the Jupiter India fund which is now one of the holdings in our Ocean Liner portfolio.
The next best sector in August was ‘Standard Money Market’, up 0.5%, followed by ‘Japanese Smaller Companies’, up 0.4%, and then ‘Short Term Money Market’ and ‘£ High Yield’, which both rose by 0.3%.
We currently hold three funds from the money market sectors. They are the Royal London Short Term Money Market Fund, abrdn Sterling Money Market, and the L&G Cash Trust fund. The returns from these funds have been increasing as interest rates have been rising. For example, last September the Royal London Short Term Money Market Fund went up by just 0.15%, but last month it went rose by 0.52%. If it keeps on going at its current rate, then that works out at an annual return of over 6%.
The only other sector that went up in August was our combined ‘Global and Global Emerging Market Bonds’ sector.
The worst performing sector was China/Greater China with a one-month loss of 7%.
The last couple of times that the number of sectors making one-month gains has dropped into single figures, there has been a strong recovery the following month. Fingers crossed for a good September.
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